Theories and Logic

Arth walked up to the tallest tower without anyone calling out to him. He would simply walk past anyone who was furiously looking for Sirius Black without a word and they would leave him alone.

It was as if he was invisible.

When Arth reaches the tower, four figures were arguing in loud voices.

"What the hell were you doing? I thought you said that your plan was going to work?"

"It would've worked if he went through any of the normal entrances and any of the secret passageways."

"So how the hell did he make it in?"

"How am I supposed to know? There are so many different ways he could've gotten in. An undiscovered passageway? An insider let him in? There are so many different possibilities."

"What a "foolproof" plan you had... if not for the couple of "tunnels" you had in it."

"You want to f**king go Dolorem?"

"Bring it on B**tch. Because of you, the prince was placed in danger."

"IF YOU HAD HELPED ME WITH THE PLANNING, WE COULD'VE PREVENTED THIS-"

"What are you doing?" Asked Arth with a frown as he walked towards the four dementors. "We are literally in the middle of a crisis and yet you two are fighting like little children. Are you serious?"

Dolorem and William shut up immediately.

"S-Sir I am deeply ashamed that we have failed. I promise that we will not let this happen again-"

"Be quiet for a second Alfred. Please... I'm thinking."

"M-my apologies my Prince."

The three dementors took on an attitude similar to Sebastian and went quiet.

Arthur walked back and forth with a finger on his chin thinking. Something was missing.

"... Sirius Black wasn't here for Harry in contrast to what everyone thought... it was for a different reason."

"Excuse me sir?"

"Why else would he attack today of all days? Why specifically on the day where all the students were out of their common rooms feasting in the grand hall?"

Dolorem frowned.

"He could've lost his sense of time."

"... is that so?" Said Arth with an indifferent attitude. "What would you do, Albert, if you were imprisoned for ten years and somehow managed to break free?"

Albert hesitantly spoke up.

"... I... I would run away or hide till I'm confident I can't be caught."

"What would you do after?"

"Er... learn of what has been going on in the world since I was gone?"

"Exactly... and did Sirius have enough leeway and time to slowly gather information?"

"...yes."

"So there, Black attacking the Gryffindor Common room while everyone was out was most likely not a coincidence. His target isn't Harry but something else. You can recall the dementors who are protecting Harry as it is no longer necessary."

"Yes my Prince."

"Now we have to figure out what exactly Sirius is after..."

Arthur frowned deep in thought before snapping his fingers.

"William."

"Y-Yes!"

"Give me everything you have on Sirius before he escaped."

"Excuse me?"

"Give me the recordings of his actions from the time I left the prison to the day he escaped Azkaban."

"S-Sir Yes sir!"

Arth received the papers from William and read over them carefully.

Arth drew in a deep breath.

"I found it."

Immediately, the three dementors stood up.

"What did you find sir?"

Arth threw the papers back at William before frowning.

"Go to the time when Fudge visited the prison."

"When he came to pick you up?"

"No, after."

Glancing at the four dementors reading, Arthur asked, "Now what happened during Fudges stay that has a relation with Black?"

William was the first to respond.

"Fudge gave him a newspaper."

"Did Sirius Black show any symptoms of muttering 'He's there at Hogwarts' before this event?"

"...no. You couldn't mean-"

"Yes, that's exactly what I mean William."

Dolorem frowned.

"What do you mean? Explain."

Arth gave a smirk.

"Something that Black read in the newspaper that was given to him by Fudge caused Black to gain a desire to escape. Something in that newspaper can reveal to us whatever he is after for in this school."

"So what do we do?"

"First..." said Arth with a grin creeping up his face. "We need to get a copy of that newspaper."